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Best NBA Playoff Player Props and Bets 5/15/25

by Beer Belly Sports
May 15, 2025
in Basketball
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Another exciting day of basketball is upon us – with many attractive options to bet on across tonight’s NBA slate. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has expertly pinpointed our best basketball bets for Thursday, May 15, 2025.

PLAYER PROPS

1. JAMAL MURRAY OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+145)

Odds: +145Probability: 53.3%Projection: 2.8Edge: 12.5%Game: Thunder vs Nuggets (8:30PM EST)

Our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered the best bet of the day. Taking us all the way to Denver, where we’re locked in on the Thunder vs Nuggets matchup. In this game, our betting bot has its eyes set on Jamal Murray Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made. So far throughout this series Murray is averaging 2.4 3PM per game. After exceeding this line in his last matchup, and with a projection of 2.8 3PM in tonight’s game, our model suspects that Murray will be hot tonight launching the ball from the arch.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Jamal Murray Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made with +145 odds and a 12.5% edge, making this our best bet of the day.

2. SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 7.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+115)

Odds: +115Probability: 52.1%Projection: 7.9Edge: 5.6%Game: Thunder vs Nuggets (8:30PM EST)

According to our model, the next best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in the Thunder vs Nuggets showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Gilgeous-Alexander Over 7.5 Total Assists. So far over the course of this particular series, SGA has averaged 7.2 APG. He has exceeded this line in 2 of his last 5 games, with two of those games falling one assist short. With our Basketball Forever betting bot projecting a total of 7.9 AST, we believe this is a solid wager to take for tonight’s NBA slate.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 7.5 Total Assists, with a detected edge of 5.6% and +115 odds.

3. SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 5.5 REBOUNDS (-130)

Odds: -130Probability: 52.1%Projection: 6.9Edge: 4.9%Game: Thunder vs Nuggets (8:30PM EST)

Our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered the last best bet of the day, taking place in the Thunder vs Nuggets matchup. In this matchup, our model has determined that Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 5.5 Rebounds is a solid wager. SGA has averaged 7.8 rebounds made throughout this round of the playoffs. With our model projecting a total 6.9 total rebounds made by the end of the game along with him having an average of 7.8 rebounds, we believe this line is set a little low, giving us a high degree of confidence in this particular wager.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 5.5 Rebounds. With -130 odds and a 11.5% edge, this is our best bet of the day.

BEST BETS

1. THUNDER -4.5 (-105)

Odds: -105Probability: 52.7%Edge: 3.2%Game: Thunder vs Nuggets (8:30PM EST)

Our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered the best bet of the day, taking place in the Thunder vs Nuggets matchup. In this matchup, our model has determined that Thunder -4.5 is a solid wager. Throughout the postseason, the Thunder vs Nuggets have played against each other in five games with the Thunder leading the series 3-2. Our model suspects that the Thunder will be able to cover a -4.5 spread in tonight’s matchup. With tonight being possibly the last game of the series, our model suspects that the Thunder will do everything in their power to come out with the win. The thunder have covered this line in 2/3 of their wins, falling only one point short from covering in all three. Because of this our model suspects that they’ll be able to cover tonight’s spread.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Thunder -4.5. With -105 odds and a 3.2% edge, this is our best bet of the day.

READ MORE: Timberwolves Advancing to 2nd Straight Conference Finals



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