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Best NBA Playoff Bets and Props 6/16/25

by Beer Belly Sports
June 16, 2025
in Basketball
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We’re back today with another exciting NBA slate featuring some of our favorite matchups here at Basketball Forever. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpoint our best bets and player prop bets for tonight.

PLAYER PROPS

1. TYRESE HALIBURTON OVER 8.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (+120)

Odds: +120Probability: 53.7%Projection: 9.2Edge: 8.3%Game: Pacers vs Thunder (8:30PM EST)

The best player bet our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered for today’s NBA slate takes us to Oklahoma City where the Pacers vs Thunder play tonight. In this game, our Basketball Forever betting bot narrowed down Tyrese Haliburton in the total assists made prop market. Throughout this series of the playoffs, Haliburton has been able to average a total of 7.5 AST per game. With our model projecting a total of 9.2 AST in tonight’s game, we believe this is a solid wager for tonight’s NBA slate.

Our model recommends placing a wager on Tyrese Haliburton Over 8.5 Total Assists at +120 odds and an attractive 8.3% edge, making this our best player bet of the day

2. SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 34.5 POINTS (-115)

Odds: -115Probability: 51.8%Projection: 35.2Edge: 7.1%Game: Pacers vs Thunder (8:30PM EST)

The next NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing comes in the Pacers vs Thunder game, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander showing value in the total points made prop market.

So far throughout this series SGA has been able to rack up a total of 32.8 points per game. He has been able to exceed this line in 2/4 games, falling one point short from having a 3/4 record. With the Thunder back at home tonight, our model suspects that SGA will be launching the ball from all over the court, leading to him exceeding this line. In their first two games with the Thunder at home, SGA exceeded this line, giving us confidence in this particular wager.

The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 34.5 Points in tonight’s game, which gives us a 7.1% edge on the 115 odds.

3. TYRESE HALIBURTON OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+100)

Odds: +100Probability: 55.4%Projection: 3.0Edge: 5.4%Game: Pacers vs Thunder (8:30PM EST)

According to our model, the last best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate also takes place in the Pacers vs Thunder game, with Tyrese Haliburton showing value in the total 3-pointers made prop market.

Throughout the series, Haliburton has been able to average a total of 2.5 3-pointers made per game, with him exceeding this line in 2/4 matchups and falling one 3-pointer short of making it 3/4 games. After falling short in their last matchup, only making 1/7 3-pointers, our model suspects that Haliburton will be hot tonight, sinking a lot of his 3-pointer attempts.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Tyrese Haliburton Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with an edge of 4.9% at +100 odds.

BEST BETS

1. PACERS +9.5 (-110)

Odds: -110Probability: 49.2%Edge: 4.2%Game: Pacers vs Thunder (8:30PM EST)

Our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered the best bet of the day, taking place in the Bucks vs Pacers matchup. In this matchup, our model has determined that Pacers -8.5 is a solid wager. The Pacers have been able to cover this number in 2/4 games, falling one point short from covering in 3/4. With them falling only one point short of covering in the +5.5 spread in their last game, we believe they’ll be able to cover tonights +9.5 number. We can expect to see Haliburton pull off some crazy plays, keeping them in the game.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Pacers +9.5 through. With -110 odds and a 4.2% edge, this is our best bet of the day.

READ MORE: Insider Questions Futures of Grizzlies Stars After Bane Trade



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