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Best NBA Payoff Bets and Props 6/5/25

by Beer Belly Sports
June 5, 2025
in NBA
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Another exciting day of basketball is upon us – with many attractive options to bet on across game one of the NBA finals. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has expertly pinpointed our best basketball bets for Thursday, June 5 2025.

PLAYER PROPS

1. SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER OVER 5.5 REBOUNDS (-120)

Odds: -120Probability: 54.1%Projection: 6.2Edge: 10.8%Game: Pacers vs Thunder (8:30PM EST)

Our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered the best bet of the day. Taking us all the way to Oklahoma City, where we’re locked in on the Pacers vs Thunder matchup. In this game, our betting bot has its eyes set on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 5.5 Rebounds. Throughout the regular season SGA has been able to average a total of 8 rebounds per game when matched up against the Pacers. He has also been able to average 5.5 rebounds per game so far throughout the playoffs. Our model is projecting SGA to end tonights game with 6.2 rebounds, giving us a high degree of confidence in this wager.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 5.5 Rebounds with -120 odds and a 10.8% edge, making this our best bet of the day.

2. JALEN WILLIAMS OVER 22.5 POINTS (-115)

Odds: -115Probability: 52.4%Projection: 23.8Edge: 9.5%Game: Pacers vs Thunder (8:30PM EST)

According to our model, the next best player prop bet for the NBA Finals features Jalen Williams in the Pacers vs Thunder showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Jalen Williams Over 22.5 Points. Over his last 10 games, Williams has been able to average a total of 24 points per game. Our model suspects that this will continue into the finals series, with it projecting him to finish tonights game with a total of 23.8 points. In his last series against the Timberwolves, Williams was able to exceed this line in 2/5 games, falling short in the most recent. With tonight being the first game of the finals, our model expects to see Williams slinging the ball from all over the court, racking up points and exceeding this line.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Jalen Williams Over 22.5 Total Points, with a detected edge of 9.5% and -115 odds.

3. PASCAL SIAKAM OVER 1.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+120)

Odds: +120Probability: 52.2%Projection: 1.9Edge: 7.5%Game: Pacers vs Thunder (8:30PM EST)

According to our model, the last best player prop bet for the NBA tonight features Pascal Siakam in the Pacers vs Thunder showdown. Our betting bot has found value in Pascal Siakam Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made. So far throughout the postseason, Siakam has averaged 1.6 3-pointers made throughout the postseason. Over the course of his last 5 games, Siakam has been able to average a total of 1.6 3-pointers made per game. Throughout the regular season, when matched up against the Thunder, Siakam was able to average a total of 3.0 3-pointers made per game, giving our model a high degree of confidence in this particular wager. Our model is projecting Siakam to rack up and end tonight’s game with a total of 1.9 3-pointers made.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot highly recommends wagering on Pascal Siakam Over 1.5 3-Pointers Made, with a detected edge of 7.5% and +120 odds.

BEST BETS

1. THUNDER -9.5 (-110)

Odds: -110Probability: 53.4%Edge: 3.2%Game: Pacers vs Thunder (8:30PM EST)

Our Basketball Forever betting bot has uncovered the best bet of the day, taking place in the Pacers vs Thunder matchup. In this matchup, our model has determined that Thunder -9.5 is a solid wager to place in tonight’s NBA slate. Tonight marks the first time that these teams will play against each other in the NBA Finals. With the Thunder being at home tonight, our model suspects that’ll be just enough of an edge to be able to cover the spread and come out on top tonight. Throughout the regular season these two teams have played against each other in two matchups, with the Thunder winning both by at least 6+ points in each. Our model suspects that the Thunder will bring the heat tonight with our model predicting them to cover tonights number.

Our Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Thunder -9.5. With -110 odds and a 3.2% edge.

READ MORE: NBA Finals Preview: OKC vs. Pacers, Thoughts From SGA & Hali



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