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Best NBA Player Prop bets 5/1/25

by Beer Belly Sports
May 1, 2025
in Basketball
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Another exciting day of basketball is upon us, with many attractive options to bet on across the NBA slate tonight. With the help of advanced simulations and machine learning, our Basketball Forever bot has run thousands of simulations on every game to expertly pinpoint our best player prop bets for tonight.

1. NIKOLA JOKIC OVER 9.5 TOTAL ASSISTS (-125)

Odds: -125Probability: 65.8%Projection: 12.5Edge: 10.2%Game: Nuggets vs Clippers (10PM EST)

The Basketball Forever betting bot has found the first best player prop bet for Today, finding value in the total assists made prop market. With our sights set on Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 Total Assists in the Nuggets vs Clippers matchup. Jokic has averaged 11.8 AST so far in this playoff series, and he’s covered this number in four of his last five, our model is projecting Jokic to finish tonight’s game with a total of 12.5 AST giving our model high confidence in this particular wager. .

We recommend placing a wager on Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 Total Assists, with an attractive edge of 10.2%, with -125 odds.

2. JAMAL MURRAY OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+118)

Odds: +118Probability: 55.8%Projection: 3.4Edge: 9.9%Game: Nuggets vs Clippers (10PM EST)

According to our model, another best player prop bet for today’s NBA slate also features Jamal Murray in the Nuggets vs Clippers matchup. Showing value in the total 3-pointers made prop market, Murray is averaging 3.4 3PM throughout the series, racking up 8 3-pointers in his last game. Our Basketball Forever betting bot is projecting Murray to finish tonight’s game with a total of 3.4 3-pointers made, giving our model confidence in this wager.

The Basketball Forever betting bot recommends placing a wager on Jamal Murray Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made, with an edge of 9.9% at +118 odds.

3. JAMES HARDEN OVER 2.5 3-POINTERS MADE (+114)

Odds: +114Probability: 56.2%Projection: 3.1Edge: 9.5%Game: Nuggets vs Clippers (10PM EST)

The last best NBA player prop bet our betting bot recommends playing also comes in the Nuggets vs Clippers game, with James Harden showing value in the total 3-pointers made prop market. Our model has narrowed down James Harden Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made as another solid wager to take in tonight’s NBA slate. Averaging 2.4 3-pointers made so far through the series, our model is projecting Harden to end tonight’s game with a total of 3.1 3PM. After falling short of this line in the last 2 matchups, we believe that he’s due to exceed this line in tonight’s game.

The Basketball Forever betting bot predicts James Harden Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made in tonight’s game, which gives us a 9.5% edge on the +114 odds.

READ MORE: NBA Fans React to the Lakers Elimination by the Timberwolves



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