Astros righty Luis Garcia hasn’t pitched since May 1, 2023 due to an elbow injury that required Tommy John surgery later that month. He’s been building back up in camp this year, pitching 9 2/3 innings, but manager Joe Espada revealed this morning that Garcia has been shut down entirely after renewed elbow discomfort (via Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle). He’d been slated to pitch a bullpen session today but will instead be evaluated by team doctors.
It’s not the first setback for Garcia, but it’s perhaps more ominous than the last. The right-hander pitched 2 1/3 rehab innings last summer before being slowed down and turning his focus to 2025. The Astros did not provide specifics on the nature of last summer’s setback at the time (as is typical; the Astros are notoriously vague regarding health updates for their players). It’s not clear when they’ll provide more information on Garcia.
Chandler Rome of The Athletic notes that Garcia resumed throwing to hitters last October and was throwing without issue throughout the offseason. The team considered him to be ahead of fellow long-injured righty Lance McCullers Jr. in their respective rehabs, but today’s setback marks an abrupt and significant departure from that thinking.
Houston wasn’t counting on Garcia to step right into the Opening Day rotation, but the belief was that he’d emerge as a critical depth option in the early stages of the season. That won’t be the case. The Astros still have a solid if top-heavy staff, with Framber Valdez, Hunter Brown, Ronel Blanco and sophomore Spencer Arrighetti (who had an outstanding finish to the 2024 season after a rough few months as a rookie) leading the pack. Hayden Wesneski, acquired from the Cubs in the Kyle Tucker trade, is favored to be the fifth starter.
A healthy Garcia would’ve been a welcome boon to the staff, whatever his role. The right-hander was never considered a premium pitching prospect but hit the ground running in his 2020 debut and has never faced any kind of prolonged struggles in the big leagues. (Garcia has just one month of his career with an ERA north of 5.00.) He’s pitched a total of 352 innings for the Astros and logged a 3.61 ERA with a strong 25.3% strikeout rate against a sharp 7.8% walk rate. He started 28 games for Houston in both 2021 and 2022, logging mid-3.00s ERAs with more than 155 innings in each of those two seasons.
There’s now no telling when or whether Garcia will be an option to return to Houston’s rotation. His setback marks a notable blow to their pitching depth. The aforementioned McCullers, who’s been out of action even longer — since the 2022 World Series — made his spring debut earlier this week. That marked McCullers’ first official game action of any kind since ’22; he didn’t pitch in spring training or embark on any minor league rehab assignments in 2023 or 2024. He’s been beset by multiple flexor injuries along the way, which led to a June 2023 surgery.
The Astros currently have Garcia, McCullers, J.P. France (shoulder) and Cristian Javier (UCL) recovering from major surgeries. Javier had Tommy John surgery last June. France underwent surgery to repair a capsule tear in his shoulder last July. Depth starter Shawn Dubin has been sidelined all spring due to shoulder troubles.
Because of that wide swath of injuries, the Astros don’t have another rotation candidate on the 40-man roster who’s made even one big league start. Lefty Colton Gordon and righty Ryan Gusto are on the 40-man and could both get looks this season, but both are completely untested against MLB opposition.
The non-roster options behind the 40-man group aren’t experienced, either. Right-hander Glenn Otto (5.62 ERA in 169 2/3 MLB innings) has the most big league work of any NRI in Astros camp. Righties Miguel Ullola, 22, and A.J. Blubaugh, 24, are the team’s top-ranked pitching prospects. Ullola has just three innings in Triple-A. Blubaugh pitched well in 124 Triple-A frames last season and figures to be a key depth piece in 2025. Broadly speaking, the Astros are precariously thin beyond the top group of arms, which only exacerbates the problematic nature of Garcia’s latest setback.
